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Will Apple be forced to remove their flip phone from the market due to lack of sales?

Apple Inc.

Target: December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM EST
AppleiPhone FlipFoldable PhoneSalesTechnology

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Description

Date: This event resolves by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Time: N/A (this is an ongoing market-performance question rather than a single scheduled event). Venue: N/A (applies to Apple's official global retail and online sales channels). Context: Apple is reportedly preparing to launch its first foldable 'flip phone' iPhone (widely referred to in press coverage as the iPhone Flip or iPhone Fold) around September 2026, alongside the iPhone 18 lineup. Reports indicate Apple has set ambitious internal sales targets of approximately 50 million foldable units, well above the roughly 13.1 million foldable smartphones shipped industry-wide in 2022. Some reports have also flagged potential production issues with the foldable display that could affect the rollout and reception of the device. This event covers whether Apple formally discontinues or removes its foldable 'flip phone' iPhone from sale (i.e., ceases offering it for purchase through its official retail and online channels) specifically due to weak consumer demand or underperforming sales, at any point between its market launch and December 31, 2027.

Settlement details

This event settles Yes if, on or before December 31, 2027, Apple officially discontinues or removes its foldable 'flip phone' iPhone from sale through its official retail and online channels, as confirmed by an official Apple statement, an Apple Newsroom announcement, an official Apple.com product-page removal, or multiple credible mainstream/tech media reports citing weak sales or demand as the reason. This event settles No if the product remains available for sale in at least one official Apple channel as of December 31, 2027, or if it is discontinued for reasons unrelated to sales performance (e.g., replaced by a newer/updated model as part of Apple's normal product cycle, a supply chain issue, or a component defect recall). If Apple has not launched the product at all by December 31, 2027, this event settles No, as no forced removal due to lack of sales could have occurred.

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